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NFL: Super Runner-Up Jink - February 10, 2017

Atlanta Falcons get this year's moniker of Super Bowl Runner-Up or Super Bowl Chokes after Patriots' 34-28 shocking overtime comeback.

Runner Ups tend to under perform against-the-oddsmaker the following season. Since 2000, the Runner-Up won straight-up at a 57.0% clip (155-117) but add the great equalizer (point spread) the group has seen cash evaporate at an alarming pace cashing just 44.1% of the time (120-145-7) split between 58-75-3 ATS playing on home field, 62-70-4 ATS on the road.

Our trusty NFL Betting database tells us backing the Super Bowl Runner-Up when chalk was suicide at the best of times. Didn't matter whether they were wearing Home jersey's (47-66-2) or Road jersey's (28-41-2) the result was a money-draining 75-107-4 record against the betting line (40.3%).

Keep in mind, Runner Ups are extremely vulnerable in season opener's notching a 2-15 ATS mark since 2000 including 1-7 ATS as road chalk.

Historical trends should not be your only handicapping tool however the numbers suggest a closer look is in order when considering last year's SB Runner-Up.

Note: The previous time Falcons lost the Super Bowl (1998-99) they did not bounce back opening the campaign with four straight losses (1-3 ATS) finishing 5-11 (6-10 ATS) overall.

Good Luck this coming season and be sure to join us regularly at the home page for both College and NFL football articles / previews / angles / trends / Free Picks!

 

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