CFB: 2011-12 College Bowl
Preview (Part 2)-
Larry Ness
Be sure to get all of Larry's
Football
Picks
throughout the season right here where you only pay after you
win!
Seventy teams played in last year’s 35 bowls with only 8-4
Temple and 6-6 Western Michigan getting left out among
bowl-eligible schools. This year’s bowl season again features 35
games and again, just two schools were left out of the mix among
bowl-eligible teams. Miami-Florida was 6-6 but had a
self-imposed bowl ban, leaving 6-6 Ball State and 7-4 Western
Kentucky as the only two schools not going ‘bowling’ among teams
which were eligible. Western Kentucky, the little school from
Bowling Green, Ky, deserves special mention.
The Hilltoppers own a proud basketball tradition, reaching the
Final Four back in 1971 led by Jim McDaniels, losing in
double-overtime to Villanova in the semifinals. However,
football is another story. The school was a transitional member
of the FBS in 2007 and 2008 and became full members (as part of
the Sun Belt) in 2009, a year in which the team went 0-12.
Western Kentucky lost its final eight games in 2008, before
going 0-12 in 2009. The team then lost its first six games of
2010 before winning 54-21 at Louisiana-Lafayette on October 23,
ending a 26-game losing streak, the longest among all NCAA
divisions. Almost exactly a year later (10/22/11), Western
Kentucky snapped an 18-game home losing streak in a 42-23 win
over again, Louisiana-Lafayette. Western Ky opened the 2011
season 0-4 but finished the season on a 7-1 run in SBC play to
finish second in the conference. However, while both
Louisiana-Lafayette and Florida International (Western beat BOTH
schools) got bowl bids out of the SBC (as did league champions
Arkansas St), the Hilltoppers got left out. In the name of James
McDaniels, I cry foul!
A total of 13 schools with 6-6 records got bowl bids this year,
plus UCLA got an invite after a loss in the Pac-12 championship
game gave the Bruins a 6-7 record. Four bowl games will feature
6-6 opponents, including UCLA as a 6-6 team. I’ll touch on all
of those four contests as I offer a few random thoughts on the
2011-12 bowl season. In Part II of my Bowl Preview, I’ll cover
games through December 28.
The bowl season opens on Saturday December 17 with three games.
Temple missed out last year despite an 8-4 record but this year
the Owls’ 8-4 mark was good enough to meet 8-4 Wyoming (off a
3-9 year) in the New Mexico Bowl. It’s rare that this bowl
features two 8-4 teams and Temple hopes for the school’s
second-ever bowl win in the its fourth bowl appearance (beat Cal
28-17 in the 1979 Garden State Bowl). Ohio U (9-4) is ‘bowling’
for the fourth time in Frank Solich’s seven years but has yet to
win one. That’s nothing new, as the Bobcats are 0-5 all-time in
bowl games. They meet Utah State on the blue turf of Boise for
the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. The Aggies won their final five
games to finish 7-5, the school’s first winning season since
1996. The New Orleans Bowl completes Saturday’s action with 8-4
UL-Lafayette (off a 3-9 season) playing in its first-ever bowl
game against San Diego State (also 8-4). The Aztecs lost their
coach (Brady Hoke) to Michigan but are playing in back-to-back
bowl games for the first time since 1966 and 1967, when the
school beat Montana State and then San Francisco State in
consecutive Camellia Bowls. Now you KNOW, I couldn’t have made
that up!
The bowl season resumes on December 20 in Florida with the Beef
’0’ Brady’s Bowl in St Petersburg. Florida International (8-4),
only a full FBS member since 2005, is playing in its second
straight bowl game, after winning a thriller over Toledo last
year in the Little Caesars Bowl, 34-32. The Golden Panthers’
opponent is 6-6 Marshall, whose claim to fame in 2011 was
beating Southern Miss 26-20 back on September 10. Up next is the
Poinsettia Bowl in San Diego (Dec 21), where 10-2 TCU faces 8-4
La Tech. The Horned Frogs have fallen a long way in just one
season, as just last year, TCU became the first school from a
non-automatic qualifying conference to play in the Rose Bowl
since the advent of the BCS. TCU beat Wisconsin 21-19 to finish
13-0 and become the eighth team in the BCS era to finish a
season undefeated and not win a national championship. One
wonders how motivated TCU will be here, after back-to-back BCS
Bowl games (lost 17-10 to Boise State in the Fiesta Bowl two
years ago). The Horned Frogs better be careful, as the Bulldogs
enter this game on a seven-game winning streak. Note that La
Tech lost 19-17 at 11-2 Southern Miss, 35-34 at 12-1 Houston and
26-20 in OT at the SEC’s Mississippi State.
The MAACO Las Vegas Bowl follows on Thursday (12/22) with Boise
State facing Arizona State. Since I wrote Part I of this
article, Boise State has joined the Big East, so I guess the
team’s head coach Chris Peterson is now in favor of the BCS,
because his Broncos can now earn a BCS Bowl bid by winning the
weakest of all the automatic qualifying leagues. I agree that
Boise State got a raw deal again this year (see Part I for all
the details) but I don’t believe Peterson or anyone at Boise
State will be shedding any tears for a school which finds itself
in a similar situation to Boise this year, now that the Broncos
are part of a BCS conference. And so goes the hypocrisy.
The Hawaii Bowl is being played Christmas Eve, featuring 7-5
Nevada and 11-2 Southern Miss, fresh off its 49-28 win over
Houston in the C-USA championship game. Talk about being
delusional. Golden Eagles’ head coach Larry Fedora was being
interviewed right after the game and the sideline reporter
correctly noted that Southern Miss’ win over Houston, knocking
the Cougars out of a BCS Bowl game, cost C-USA some $15 million.
Fedora's response was that it shouldn’t have, as Southern Miss
was worthy of a BCS spot. Really? Now I give Southern Miss its
due, as the team just completed its 18th consecutive winning
season but a BCS Bowl bid? Southern Miss lost 26-20 at 6-6
Marshall and if that’s not enough to disqualify the not-so
Golden Eagles, how about the team's 34-31 loss at 3-9 UAB, a
team which they were favored against by just over three TDs? I
will agree that Southern Miss gets an unworthy opponent in
Nevada, a team which followed last year’s record-breaking 13-1
season (Wolf Pack ended the year 11th in the final AP poll) by
going 7-5 overall and not winning a Boise State-less WAC in
2011. The good news for Southern Miss is, it’s hard to beat the
venue (Honolulu)!
The only football on Christmas Day will be the Bears at the
Packers in the NFL but it’s back to ‘bowling’ on the 26th, as
the Independence Bowl features a pair of non-descript 7-5 teams,
North Carolina and Missouri (only bettors will have much
interest in this one). December 27th’s Little Caesars Bowl will
have a hard time matching last year’s game. FIU rallied from a
24-7 deficit against Toledo to take a 31-24 lead with just over
three minutes to go. However, the Rockets re-took the lead with
a TD and two-point conversion with 1:18 left, only to see FIU
kick the game-winning FG from 34 yards with 0:00 left on the
clock. Purdue and Western Michigan were both 6-6 this year (the
first of four bowls between 6-6 teams) with Purdue coming off
three consecutive losing seasons and Western Michigan getting a
bowl bid at 6-6, after being denied one in 2010 with the same
record. Note that this is WMU’s fifth bowl invite and the
Broncos are still looking for their first-ever win (0-4
all-time).
The Belk Bowl, formerly the Meinke Car Care Bowl, will also be
played on the 27th in Charlotte. Louisville, which like
Cincinnati, lost the Big East’s tie-breaker to West Virginia. So
instead of representing the conference in a BCS Bowl, the 7-5
Cardinals (winners of five of their last six), take on 7-5 North
Carolina St, playing in its home state. The Wolfpack finished
with five wins in their last seven, including beating then-No. 7
Clemson 37-13 and Maryland 56-41 in their last two games. You
just may have heard about the team’s final regular season game
vs Maryland. The Terps led 41-14 with six minutes left in the
third quarter but NC State then scored the next six times it
touched the ball, in what incredibly is only the second-biggest
comeback in ACC history (Clemson trailed Virginia 28-0 back in
1992 before winning, 29-28!).
Wednesday, December 28 features the Military Bowl from
Washington, D.C and the Holiday Bowl from San Diego. Toledo
(8-4) averages 42.3 PPG (8th) and 7-5 Air Force 34.4 PPG (22nd),
so expect a high-scoring Military Bowl, weather permitting. Mack
Brown came to Texas in 1998 and the Longhorns never won less
than nine games (won 10 or more in nine straight years from
2001-09) in a season before falling to 5-7 in 2010. The
Longhorns are back ‘bowling’ in 2011 at 7-5 and will face
California. Jeff Tedford took over a Cal program in 2002, which
hadn’t had a winning season since 1993. He went 7-5 in 2002 and
then led the Bears to seven consecutive bowl appearances before
finishing 5-7 last year. However, like Texas, Cal went 7-5 this
year and that sets the stage for what is hardly an inspiring
Holiday Bowl matchup.
Part III of my 2011-12 Bowl Preview will be available on
Christmas Day, covering the 11 bowl games from December 29-31.
Good luck...Larry
Ness
Need help deciding whether to play chalks or underdogs visit the
Guaranteed Picks Page for winning College Football Selections
100% GUARANTEED TO WIN OR YOU DON'T PAY!
We offer a unique guarantee to purchasers of picks:
If you don't win, you don't pay!
You will only be billed for picks that win; multi-pick packages must
show a profit or there is no charge. Be sure to check-in with your
favorite handicapper for
Guaranteed Pick
in this weeks Basketball action.
|