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NCAA Basketball Betting:

Southwest Regional Virginia Commonwealth vs. Kansas March 27th, 2:10 EST- by Lenny Del Genio
 

 

  – As the only one seed left remaining in the draw, Kansas will continue what has been a relatively easy path to the Final Four as they play 11 seed Virginia Commonwealth Sunday afternoon in San Antonio. The oddsmakers have opened the Jayhawks as big 11-point favorites for this Elite Eight matchup.

Kansas has yet to play a team seeded higher than ninth in the 2011 NCAA Tournament and this will be the third double digit seed they've faced in four games. They overcame a sluggish start to beat Boston U in their first game, winning 72-53, but not covering as big 23.5-point favorites. They followed that up with a 73-59 win and cover against nine seed Illinois as eight-point favorites. Then on Friday, the Jayhawks put together their best performance of the tournament in eliminating 12 seed Richmond 77-57 as 10-point favorites on the betting line. That's a pretty impressive win, no matter what the seed says, when you consider the Spiders came in on a 9-0 SU/ATS winning streak.

The final scores of Kansas' tournament games have been remarkably consistent as has the team's shooting. They led the nation in field goal percentage during the regular season and after making better than 50% of their shots in the first two games, they shot 47% against Richmond.

Eventually, the betting odds have to catch up with the Jayhawks, however. At least according to the NCAA betting trends as Kansas is just 13-24 ATS since the start of last season when riding a win streak of at least six games.

Meanwhile, Virginia Commonwealth has been one of the great stories of this NCAA Tournament. Most felt the Rams shouldn't have even been included in the field of 68, but they have left their detractors with some serious egg on their collective faces with four straight wins and covers. Overall, VCU has covered its last eight NCAA Tournament games! This is the second time in six years that a team from the Colonial Athletic Association has made the final eight as we're sure you all remember George Mason's miracle Final Four run back in the 2006 NCAA Tournament. Interestingly enough, George Mason was an 11 seed in that tournament & beat a top seed (UConn) in the Elite Eight.

VCU has been an underdog in all four tournament games thus far. The journey started in the 'opening' (play-in) round with a 59-46 win over a USC team that was a 4.5 point favorite on the betting line. Then the Rams waxed slumping Georgetown, 74-56 as 5.5-point dogs. Then came an even better performance against third seeded Purdue, winning 94-76 as 9.5-point favorites. In the Sweet 16, they very nearly blew a lead against Florida State, but won in overtime 72-71 as 4.5-point dogs. The Rams have really been making the bookies pay in this NCAA Tournament by beating the spread by a collective 74 points!

Please note that we've successfully played on the Rams in three of those wins (didn't play Purdue game). Will we continue to do so in the Elite Eight or is it time to lay the points with the Jayhawks?
 

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