Betting Baseball Totals
by Big Al McMordie

Offense is down a bit this season in major league baseball. There are many theories about this, from teams shoring up the relief staff as many games are decided in the sixth, seventh and eighth innings, to the decrease in steroids. Another factor that's always worth considering is the ballpark. It's no secret that the dimensions of parks play a role not only in how a team plays but in how a team is constructed. When Whitey Herzog managed the Royals in the 1970s and the Cardinals in the 1980s, he recognized that both teams played in huge, pitcher-friendly parks on Astroturf. They were not easy to hit home runs in, so Herzog constructed his teams around speed and defense, particularly in the outfield. One time a player on his team stole a base even though they were leading 10-2. The opposing manager yelled across the field at him for stealing with such a big lead and then complained about it to the newspapers after the game saying, "Whitey is showing us up and that's baloney." So Herzog retorted, "Stealing bases is how we score runs. We'll agree to stop stealing if he agrees not to hit any more home runs."

When wagering on baseball totals, it's important to look at the park, the defense and the pitching staffs, both starting and relief pitching. Current teams with large, pitcher-friendly parks are Safeco in Seattle, Dodger Stadium in LA, Comerica in Detroit, Shea Stadium in New York (Mets) and the McAfee (Oakland) Coliseum. The Mariners have constructed their offense around speed while the A's preach drawing walks and on-base percentage. They don't look to sit back and hit home runs. Notice that the Mariners are 13-8 under the total at home this season. Another pitcher-friendly park is in Florida where the Marlins play. This is a strong defensive team in the field with a terrific young pitching staff, too, and Florida is 13-8 under the total at home. The new park in San Diego is also pitcher-friendly, and the Padres are 12-8 under the total at home.

Sports bettors carefully look at parks and numbers like these, in addition to offensive production. For instance, the Astros play in a small park conducive to hitting, but have lost a lot of offensive talent from last season. Houston averages 4.6 runs per game at home, but just 2.6 runs on the road. That explains why this team is competitive at home, but simply miserable on the road. The Phillies, too, play in a new, hitter-friendly park. Notice the Phillies average 4.9 runs per game at home, but 3.9 on the road. Philadelphia is 14-5 over the total thus far at home, with a weak pitching staff, and 14-9 under the total on the road. Stats like these have reasons behind them, so don't be surprised if the Phillies continue to be productive offensively at home, but slip significantly on the road.

Which brings me to the Washington Nationals (the former Expos) and their new park; this is a pitcher-friendly park and Washington averages 4.3 runs per game on the road, but just 3.7 per game at home. Washington is 11-8 under the total at home. Another team with improved defense and pitching depth this season is the Arizona Diamondbacks. The D-Backs are 28-16 under the total overall. The White Sox have been the surprise of the American League with a devastating pitching staff that has them rolling despite a not-so-great offense. The White Sox are 23-16 under the total (13-5 under at home). Dodger Stadium has always been friendly to pitchers, and notice the Dodgers are 12-8 under the total at home where the offense averages 4 runs per game, but 12-8 over the total on the road where the offense busts out for 5.7 runs per contest! Betting totals can be just as profitable as sides in baseball, and knowing the parks can help a good bettor turn a profit.

Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. Don't miss Big Al's MLB picks - guaranteed to win, or no charge!!
 

 

Guaranteed Picks

6-0 TOP PLAY RUN: ESPN *TOP* from SCOTT RICKENBACH
Scott's MLB Top Plays continue their MASSIVE run as he made it 6 STRAIGHT MLB Top Play WINS with Sunday's 9* Top Play WIN! This is no short-term fluke either! Scott's long-term MLB Top Play run is 13-4, 77%! Nearly ALL plays have been totals! He follows up Sunday's W with a HUGE ESPN Top Play! MIL? CLE? OV? UN? CA$H it!


SCOTT SPREITZER'S 25* IL PLATINUM PUNISHER G.O.M.!
Scott Spreitzer CASHED his Blockbuster Blowout Game of the Month on Friday, along with another IL Platinum Punisher. On Sunday, Scott rocks the books with his 25* IL PLATINUM PUNISHER GAME OF THE MONTH! There's serious line value in this one and Scott takes the books deep all day long. Grab it here...C-A-$-H IT!


MLB Subscription Packages!!
Looking to get all of a handicapper's daily baseball selections on a subscription basis? Subscribe on either a 7-day or 30-day basis! Find out more


Ryan’s 10* ESPN SNB Game of the Month
Ryan swept the board for the 3rd time this season and is on an UNREAL 24-4 run. if you need one big play to unload then join Ryan for this marquee ESPN game that is reinforced by a several angles with 2 of them combining for a 15-2 record. Win BIG tonight!


 


 
 Welcome
 Handicappers 
 Guaranteed Picks
 Past Results
 Free Picks
 Archives
 Guaranteed Picks - click on your favorite handicappers name
 
 Ben Burns
 Carlo Campanella
 Lenny Del Genio
 Steve Drumm
 Matt Fargo
 Tom Freese
 Tom Grassi
 Eddie Keen
 Hollywood Sports
 Sam Martin
 Marc Lawrence
 Big Al McMordie
 Larry Ness
 MTI Sports
 Murray Hill Mike
 Nick Parsons
 Scott Rickenbach
 John Ryan
 Scott Spreitzer
All Guaranteed Picks


 Become a member save$$$

Experts Membership :
Get daily member plays and save 20% on your Guaranteed plays ! Join now and save$$
   

 Owned and operated by Alliance Sports Media 

Any information furnished by this site is for information and entertainment only and is not to be used in violation of any federal, state, provincial or local laws - Privacy Policy

Contact Servus - Sportspic.com